Europa Conference League · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11aed70732511e1176bd5a629ae1943678f914ab8a51f535da5f300b9e0dfeff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 8,684$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.32 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 5,129$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 4,871$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.7 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Over | 23c | 4,418$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 64c | 3,310$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.11 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 53c | 2,999$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 14c | 625$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 21c | 613.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 415$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 43c | 320.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 74c | 320$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 4c | 271.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.65 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 262.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 78c | 256.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 80c | 168.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 15c | 135.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 76c | 128.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 26c | 115.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 79c | 106.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Over | 23c | 101.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Under | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…653cbacked Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Under | 64c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5this page
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.