Europa Conference League · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88062d035b154ee8f456256190c0ad03ad7958d3b17c0bc6ba79ac1ac26aaf10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 788.58$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 67c | 257.4$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 247.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…f5fcbacked Yes | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 64c | 172$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 61c | 151.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 64c | 143$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 64c | 137$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 39c | 132.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 116.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 56c | 90.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 61c | 65.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.