Middle East · resolved market
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaab28e6ebff145d042ecfc46aa9eaab3552d6d1351c50c68714e8198e94f6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,650$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 5c | 2,270$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 2,141$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…937bbacked Yes | 64c | 942.55$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed No | 42c | 541.8$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.54 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed Yes | 62c | 521$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 49c | 502.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 489.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 11c | 485$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 423$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 55c | 394.35$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.35 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 8c | 383.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked No | 73c | 366$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 32c | 359.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 58c | 353$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 27c | 321.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +15.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 30c | 284.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 19c | 276.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 257.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 66c | 245.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 229.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…0b81backed Yes | 32c | 227.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 38c | 214.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…3b18backed Yes | 35c | 209$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 35c | 199.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…3a28backed Yes | 65c | 191.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…97babacked Yes | 54c | 185.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…eda0backed No | 80c | 185.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 30c | 175$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 62c | 161.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 152.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…1153backed Yes | 13c | 151.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 72c | 151.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 26c | 149.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 39c | 148.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 67c | 145.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 70c | 143.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 59c | 142.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…b853backed Yes | 8c | 142.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…31f2backed Yes | 54c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Yes | 43c | 132.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…40bfbacked Yes | 54c | 131$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 22c | 125.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 61c | 120.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…fde1backed No | 43c | 116.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 23c | 111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…9408backed No | 13c | 99.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1ef1backed No | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…518dbacked No | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 49c | 81.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 57c | 70.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 21c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…ce51backed No | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed No | 42c | 65.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…80f5backed No | 46c | 64.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 33c | 59.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…92d9backed No | 42c | 49.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…3664backed No | 41c | 48.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 65c | 47.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2e06backed Yes | 59c | 44.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 47c | 43.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 58c | 37.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -12.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…dce3backed No | 41c | 35.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 30c | 34.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 60c | 30.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 51c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a8cfbacked No | 45c | 23.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…7970backed Yes | 62c | 22.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…5a2ebacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…3ba8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…67dcbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…0fc4backed Yes | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?this page
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?No won
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.