TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,244,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,283,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Yes59c113,065$66,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,356.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No41c59,150$24,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,251.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No40c35,022$14,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,008.988940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes60c35,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No41c34,400$14,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2047321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c33,999$20,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,641.924,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No42c30,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.899028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c21,210$8,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,696.058828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No41c18,500$7,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5852532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes59c18,431$10,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,556.679459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No43c17,600$7,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,567.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes61c17,395$10,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,807.631145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No41c14,225$5,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,832.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes58c9,447$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.8753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c7,384$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.1869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No41c5,866$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4055232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.959625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7a…8f7dbacked No40c4,725$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No40c4,662$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7160…34d3backed No40c4,237$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664f…80b6backed No40c4,226$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes59c4,126$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No40c4,106$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.6625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No39c4,049$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.466836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43bf…2fb7backed No40c4,011$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No40c3,907$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.527443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb0…278cbacked Yes60c3,732$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522a…d0d1backed No40c3,721$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No41c3,446$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.01175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51bd…4f72backed Yes60c3,430$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+89.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d41…0ed3backed No40c3,382$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+61.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x070a…8bdabacked Yes60c3,320$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1d…43c9backed No40c3,287$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+89%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf427…8665backed No40c3,269$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6698…f1e5backed No40c3,140$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c1…b81ebacked No40c3,129$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.650%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No7c3,077$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.382842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2604266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…d60ebacked Yes60c2,977$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab11…1e58backed Yes60c2,895$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f2…01c9backed No40c2,885$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+61.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafcb…f2c4backed Yes60c2,783$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No41c2,684$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.451926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68de…9a9bbacked Yes60c2,648$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…345fbacked No40c2,644$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…e233backed No40c2,625$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No43c2,586$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd030…4e1ebacked No40c2,533$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…058cbacked No40c2,524$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…63e3backed Yes60c2,515$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1165…9b36backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c2,498$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.8555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…3b25backed Yes60c2,495$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fc…6ec4backed Yes60c2,490$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5134…c4a5backed Yes60c2,454$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a05…b92abacked Yes60c2,446$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.4560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c95…32a8backed Yes60c2,428$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf198…2159backed No40c2,365$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f2a…2165backed Yes60c2,355$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe756…c45dbacked Yes60c2,348$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a3…e926backed Yes60c2,329$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369e…56fcbacked No40c2,296$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7175…c256backed Yes60c2,284$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.6520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d83…539abacked No40c2,248$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a71…c2e9backed Yes60c2,231$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+87.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ad…8026backed Yes60c2,199$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29dc…3fa8backed Yes60c2,190$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5421…4964backed Yes60c2,185$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ca46backed No40c2,174$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd430…f49abacked No40c2,157$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.850%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a07…5a57backed Yes60c2,154$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.65100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+150%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No41c2,152$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.252927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5460…1060backed Yes60c2,139$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No42c2,132$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.951546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x420d…43cebacked Yes60c2,081$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…fa8dbacked No40c2,037$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d2…131dbacked Yes60c2,032$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6380…bbedbacked No40c2,027$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1710…7d2bbacked No40c2,022$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf07c…b1cebacked Yes60c2,019$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…bba7backed No40c2,013$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…89e4backed No40c2,012$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes69c2,011$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.5690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439a…751cbacked No40c2,003$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.987424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3519…df40backed No40c1,972$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2080…e91bbacked No40c1,953$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No42c1,951$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.544548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9597…eccfbacked No40c1,940$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…8eefbacked Yes60c1,937$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf55…a74abacked Yes60c1,933$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cbb…2bbbbacked Yes60c1,933$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9d…cb75backed No40c1,917$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…329abacked No40c1,891$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad14…776bbacked No40c1,864$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d1…548ebacked No40c1,832$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f11…94eabacked No40c1,824$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+118.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x929e…b419backed No40c1,821$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dea…6b86backed Yes60c1,792$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec93…58bcbacked No40c1,782$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.