La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d5607b5bac6fa7033378d62ed3ddc1cba53980977dea1b2774ccf9191c5a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,283,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Yes | 59c | 113,065$66,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,356.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 41c | 59,150$24,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,251.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 35,022$14,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,008.98 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 35,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 34,400$14,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,204 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 33,999$20,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,641.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 42c | 30,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.89 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 41c | 21,210$8,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,696.05 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 41c | 18,500$7,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,585 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 59c | 18,431$10,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,556.67 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 43c | 17,600$7,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,567.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 61c | 17,395$10,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,807.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 41c | 14,225$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 58c | 9,447$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.87 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 7,384$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.18 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 41c | 5,866$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…8f7dbacked No | 40c | 4,725$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 4,662$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.2 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…34d3backed No | 40c | 4,237$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…80b6backed No | 40c | 4,226$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 4,126$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 4,106$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.66 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 39c | 4,049$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.46 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…2fb7backed No | 40c | 4,011$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 40c | 3,907$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.52 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…278cbacked Yes | 60c | 3,732$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…d0d1backed No | 40c | 3,721$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 41c | 3,446$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.01 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…4f72backed Yes | 60c | 3,430$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…0ed3backed No | 40c | 3,382$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…8bdabacked Yes | 60c | 3,320$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…43c9backed No | 40c | 3,287$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +89%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf427…8665backed No | 40c | 3,269$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…f1e5backed No | 40c | 3,140$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…b81ebacked No | 40c | 3,129$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 7c | 3,077$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…d60ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,977$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…1e58backed Yes | 60c | 2,895$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…01c9backed No | 40c | 2,885$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…f2c4backed Yes | 60c | 2,783$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 41c | 2,684$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…9a9bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,648$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…345fbacked No | 40c | 2,644$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…e233backed No | 40c | 2,625$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 43c | 2,586$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…4e1ebacked No | 40c | 2,533$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…058cbacked No | 40c | 2,524$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…63e3backed Yes | 60c | 2,515$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…9b36backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 2,498$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.85 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…3b25backed Yes | 60c | 2,495$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…6ec4backed Yes | 60c | 2,490$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…c4a5backed Yes | 60c | 2,454$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…b92abacked Yes | 60c | 2,446$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…32a8backed Yes | 60c | 2,428$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf198…2159backed No | 40c | 2,365$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…2165backed Yes | 60c | 2,355$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c45dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,348$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…e926backed Yes | 60c | 2,329$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…56fcbacked No | 40c | 2,296$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…c256backed Yes | 60c | 2,284$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…539abacked No | 40c | 2,248$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…c2e9backed Yes | 60c | 2,231$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…8026backed Yes | 60c | 2,199$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…3fa8backed Yes | 60c | 2,190$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…4964backed Yes | 60c | 2,185$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…ca46backed No | 40c | 2,174$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…f49abacked No | 40c | 2,157$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…5a57backed Yes | 60c | 2,154$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 41c | 2,152$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…1060backed Yes | 60c | 2,139$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 42c | 2,132$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…43cebacked Yes | 60c | 2,081$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…fa8dbacked No | 40c | 2,037$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…131dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,032$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…bbedbacked No | 40c | 2,027$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…7d2bbacked No | 40c | 2,022$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…b1cebacked Yes | 60c | 2,019$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…bba7backed No | 40c | 2,013$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…89e4backed No | 40c | 2,012$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 69c | 2,011$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…751cbacked No | 40c | 2,003$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3519…df40backed No | 40c | 1,972$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…e91bbacked No | 40c | 1,953$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 42c | 1,951$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.54 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…eccfbacked No | 40c | 1,940$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…8eefbacked Yes | 60c | 1,937$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…a74abacked Yes | 60c | 1,933$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…2bbbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,933$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cb75backed No | 40c | 1,917$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…329abacked No | 40c | 1,891$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…776bbacked No | 40c | 1,864$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…548ebacked No | 40c | 1,832$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…94eabacked No | 40c | 1,824$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…b419backed No | 40c | 1,821$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…6b86backed Yes | 60c | 1,792$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec93…58bcbacked No | 40c | 1,782$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.