La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal vs. Getafe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879d814c8c78f32f93156675f1da5720f7c7c33c5f802f8d24de393f47b39333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 13,312$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 287.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 73c | 272.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 18c | 260$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 25c | 190.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 74c | 167.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 130.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 122.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 91.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 27c | 86.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 27c | 69.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 28c | 57.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…2a30backed Yes | 26c | 48.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 77c | 39.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 74c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed No | 75c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…fdd5backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 75c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal vs. Getafe end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.