La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e929807b38ac36c171c3adb1c30fdc502a18bbb3e91fd10234c2269dfb5525f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 3,490$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 2,050$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 15c | 1,550$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 15c | 1,348$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 3c | 999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 997.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 943$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 734.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 710.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 15c | 606$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 499.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…ab1fbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 17c | 141.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…8272backed Yes | 14c | 136.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…c08cbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 12c | 103.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 15c | 103.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…0717backed Yes | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Villarreal vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.