TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNC Asheville Bulldogsof USC Upstate Spartans, UNC Asheville Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs46c1,669$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.51,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs77c1,299$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.411,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed USC Upstate Spartans41c1,178$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs52c1,091$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked USC Upstate Spartans26c884.62$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed USC Upstate Spartans52c781.25$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.342,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed USC Upstate Spartans42c748.24$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.151,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c661.4$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.252,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Upstate Spartans26c417.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.011,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed USC Upstate Spartans27c403$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.511,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6f…f6b2backed USC Upstate Spartans25c400.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs59c399.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed USC Upstate Spartans39c394.91$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9738345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed USC Upstate Spartans26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked USC Upstate Spartans27c370.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs76c319.74$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed USC Upstate Spartans20c305$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.842,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked USC Upstate Spartans46c282.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.674,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed USC Upstate Spartans36c270.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.586940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs49c250$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2225246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed USC Upstate Spartans47c227.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c180.57$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9544549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed USC Upstate Spartans27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed USC Upstate Spartans26c142.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3725544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…fde1backed USC Upstate Spartans71c141.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3340252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs75c131.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Upstate Spartans24c114.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.291,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.918167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked USC Upstate Spartans10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed USC Upstate Spartans22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed USC Upstate Spartans25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9923028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed USC Upstate Spartans56c96.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8127…c407backed USC Upstate Spartans28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs46c87.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.991,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…f097backed USC Upstate Spartans26c82.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd8…6518backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs75c82.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…592cbacked USC Upstate Spartans26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs64c76.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.241,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x646c…316fbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec30…6852backed USC Upstate Spartans26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked USC Upstate Spartans26c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.727648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked USC Upstate Spartans43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed USC Upstate Spartans27c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.364052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ae…7f31backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed USC Upstate Spartans41c59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.352,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs75c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked USC Upstate Spartans26c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed USC Upstate Spartans26c49.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212e…f69ebacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs46c47.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked USC Upstate Spartans26c45.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed USC Upstate Spartans25c42.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…abb4backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs72c41.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs50c36.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0230945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.843148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed USC Upstate Spartans62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs55c30.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…f396backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81681.3%13 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs52c29.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed USC Upstate Spartans57c27.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7899848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed USC Upstate Spartans51c27.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.229259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff9…3fa5backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs58c25.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs71c23.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…ae0abacked USC Upstate Spartans68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941675%12 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2037…a613backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c21.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed USC Upstate Spartans62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.133339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs60c16.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs76c16.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.951989.5%17 W · 2 L+6.8wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+68.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs70c16.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.895341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.683357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.683959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.782653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.