TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 140.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd435…826ebacked Over50c111,331$55,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,834.523148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c40,000$19,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,85090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c18,888$9,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,255.1210045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c16,200$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5006758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c14,030$7,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,154.731,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,14078155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c13,980$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over50c10,227$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,163.5212054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c9,998$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.395,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c8,480$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,324.817643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under51c8,438$4,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,303.4723248.3%112 W · 120 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under51c6,916$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50814654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c6,336$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.5727947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55044452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c4,387$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.4342246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under50c4,330$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.8613649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under50c2,775$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.3644549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,271$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c1,873$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.4541752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under50c1,140$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5704656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c1,138$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.8399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c1,098$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0210745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c863.39$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.0689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under50c600$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29914150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over51c573.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2836940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c572.59$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.571,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under51c509.85$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0255840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under50c451.05$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5321347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c280$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over58c217$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.443,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c210.02$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1169350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under42c202$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.843745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9810748.6%52 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10229442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Under51c199.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7122640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under50c195.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9832146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under49c192.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2642339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under53c142.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c140.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c135.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4341354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.850546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over46c98.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3114546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under51c73.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.527350.5%138 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.519445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.025545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under54c47.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5613852.2%72 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under51c47.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.054060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7259…620cbacked Under54c45.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over52c40.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.586238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16bd…515fbacked Over50c39.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.862653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Under51c39.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.015952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Under51c36.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.554151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under51c35.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8412355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over52c34.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.696144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e3…ac06backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.619851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7531666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4bb…15eebacked Under53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.