NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e43bf56f2ab784d520a14a9c7ad289ca2c3fc9331633f704a4627c2041164a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Sabres, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sabres | 48c | 165,547$78,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,861.09 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jets | 53c | 97,468$51,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,068.91 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…2180backed Sabres | 5c | 21,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Jets | 55c | 20,237$11,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,133.7 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Sabres | 46c | 18,621$8,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,565.85 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jets | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 46c | 13,496$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.23 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Jets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.95 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Jets | 56c | 8,375$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.66 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 45c | 7,635$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sabres | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Jets | 54c | 4,982$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Jets | 53c | 4,895$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres | 46c | 4,763$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.96 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Jets | 53c | 4,353$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Sabres | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Jets | 54c | 4,333$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.18 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 47c | 4,101$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.47 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Jets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Jets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Jets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Sabres | 43c | 2,740$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.97 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 44c | 2,726$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.63 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jets | 54c | 2,720$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.06 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…5421backed Sabres | 47c | 2,626$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sabres | 46c | 2,480$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 47c | 2,333$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.41 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…31ffbacked Jets | 54c | 2,074$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Jets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Jets | 54c | 1,989$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.86 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets | 54c | 1,856$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.68 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Jets | 54c | 1,775$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.42 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 53c | 1,712$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.27 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 61c | 1,566$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.06 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sabres | 46c | 1,557$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jets | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jets | 55c | 1,473$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.35 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Jets | 53c | 1,211$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.26 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Jets | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 60c | 1,065$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.44 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 52c | 1,056$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 49c | 1,037$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.59 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jets | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Sabres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Sabres | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Jets | 53c | 999.85$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.93 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sabres | 45c | 899.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets | 53c | 878$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.66 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…3f00backed Jets | 54c | 850$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…cb03backed Sabres | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets | 53c | 768.01$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…f8c7backed Sabres | 47c | 760$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jets | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jets | 53c | 750$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked Jets | 54c | 690$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…b012backed Sabres | 45c | 677.27$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e01…aae8backed Jets | 56c | 676.79$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…c388backed Jets | 54c | 660$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sabres | 44c | 649.96$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.98 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…f343backed Sabres | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 61c | 638.78$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sabres | 47c | 597.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Jets | 54c | 594.44$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Sabres | 47c | 555.32$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…e25cbacked Jets | 54c | 551.46$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Sabres | 47c | 520$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jets | 53c | 513.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Jets | 56c | 504.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Jets | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Jets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Jets | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Jets | 53c | 497.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Jets | 54c | 487.04$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Jets | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres | 52c | 454.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Sabres | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Jets | 47c | 415.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Jets | 53c | 413$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Sabres | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Jets | 68c | 332.97$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sabres | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sabres | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Sabres | 46c | 261$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Sabres | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Jets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Jets | 50c | 233.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Sabres | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Jetsthis page
- Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.