NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d704580c82fa5ceed7a95c3f261c138a81887bab4e8889b75dbb731da982be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 35,948$17,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,745.92 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 10,428$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.68 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Under | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 1,192$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.24 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.7 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,016$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 939.28$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.36 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 623.84$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.11 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 52c | 502.23$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 456$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 50c | 367$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 332$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 319$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 50c | 286.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 222.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 216.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 206$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 50c | 200.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 51c | 168.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 127$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 51c | 125.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…670fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…572fbacked Over | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 49c | 76.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 58.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1074backed Over | 50c | 44.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…3496backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 50c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 33.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. JetsJets won
- Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.