TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over49c35,948$17,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,745.921,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over51c13,725$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0007844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under51c10,428$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,161.6828652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under51c4,000$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Under50c3,800$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9004032.5%13 W · 27 L-8.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1722546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under50c1,680$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76520751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c1,192$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2422248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under51c1,030$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.738844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,016$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.392,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c939.28$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.361,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3153050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c623.84$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.111,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over52c502.23$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26114148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f0…1a38backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c456$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under50c367$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under50c358$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c332$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c319$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5737649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Under50c286.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.196645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12516246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under50c222.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under50c216.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.61,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c206$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9493953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under50c200.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0612756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9876450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0830447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b9…292abacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over51c168.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8678443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Under50c142$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Over50c138$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6512648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c127$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over51c125.27$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8921454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5119844.4%88 W · 110 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…670fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0248149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0258346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43e…572fbacked Over51c88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.761,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Under50c80.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.244641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409055.6%50 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5129550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under49c76.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c76.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920145.8%92 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5129147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5121648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5117552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5141851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5160549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5117249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…b07dbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c58.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Over51c56.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298646.5%40 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.541847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5126448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5126348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5127148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed Under50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5d…1074backed Over50c44.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1f…3496backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5828542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under49c40.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9178038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Over50c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4112650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207544%33 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c33.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9349053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519548.4%46 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5123144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5119645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519952.5%52 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5120447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5110652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5114746.9%69 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519852%51 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5110250%51 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5119848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5119442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519951.5%51 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5119647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.