World Politics · resolved market
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30aee013d13c6f3a27d5ed8ac8c309ef6b4cf35ec1463a2079a006a23d49443b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 5c | 10,119$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.69 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 4c | 10,037$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 9,540$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 6,166$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,722$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 15c | 2,154$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed Yes | 2c | 2,074$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…21a1backed Yes | 18c | 1,504$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,468$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked No | 79c | 1,352$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…975fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,327$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…44cbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,040$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 40c | 999.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed Yes | 3c | 905.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 10c | 851.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 17c | 833.66$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…6e8bbacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 45c | 791.21$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 2c | 790$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 16c | 749.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 3c | 735.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7638…b60cbacked Yes | 1c | 685.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed No | 75c | 630$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…9dfebacked Yes | 4c | 628.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 64c | 566.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 66c | 527.48$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 15c | 461.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 53c | 436.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 6c | 427.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…f650backed Yes | 19c | 368.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 366.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 18c | 352.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Yes | 41c | 346.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes | 19c | 346.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 69c | 332.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…99bfbacked Yes | 21c | 298.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 288.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…7e7cbacked Yes | 8c | 274.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 233.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dff…9143backed Yes | 6c | 219.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…58fbbacked No | 47c | 213.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 44c | 203.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4a1bbacked Yes | 20c | 194.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed No | 54c | 184.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 55c | 177.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…752abacked Yes | 57c | 174.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 168.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…6067backed Yes | 10c | 155.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…08d4backed No | 67c | 148.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…539bbacked No | 70c | 142.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…fff2backed Yes | 23c | 139.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked No | 70c | 130.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 122.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked Yes | 10c | 120.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 55c | 119.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 10c | 118.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 23c | 113.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 42c | 107.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x475c…97f5backed Yes | 33c | 100.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…515fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…1103backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…d060backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…777fbacked Yes | 18c | 87.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 79c | 85.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 41c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…1bf3backed No | 75c | 80.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 17c | 76.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 25c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…56f4backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 67.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…96c2backed Yes | 21c | 67.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…8551backed No | 53c | 55.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed No | 44c | 51.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…1e41backed No | 59c | 50.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 28c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 43c | 45.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 43c | 41.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…74cfbacked No | 62c | 38.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 46c | 38.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…9783backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…2051backed Yes | 34c | 32.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…b93fbacked No | 62c | 32.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…ee2abacked Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…9db4backed No | 74c | 31.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…38d9backed No | 48c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…bfb7backed No | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…dc40backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 54c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…d302backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed Yes | 58c | 17.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…5e6fbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?this page
- Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.