TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof Chicago Cubs, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$741,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb15…14f1backed San Diego Padres53c100,363$53,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,170.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs47c100,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,00041149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs55c43,547$23,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,904.5710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres41c42,354$17,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,901.0536047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs49c37,695$18,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,470.6260451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres51c33,971$17,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,645.7986548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres52c31,955$16,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,338.4250153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres53c22,920$12,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,772.3198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs47c21,896$10,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,291.293,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs45c18,306$8,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,219.7548850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs47c18,000$8,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,459.8338148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres58c15,197$8,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,431.136,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs34c14,956$5,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,125.742,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres53c14,748$7,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.171,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x446f…b09fbacked San Diego Padres53c12,416$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,835.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs31c11,973$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f28…707dbacked San Diego Padres52c10,080$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Chicago Cubs47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.8612457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs48c9,930$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.334,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres65c9,798$6,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,471.128,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed San Diego Padres53c9,718$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.4647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs51c9,370$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,810.362,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked San Diego Padres53c7,969$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.3217853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago Cubs27c7,266$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.3212227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs47c7,192$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.3527452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres69c7,072$4,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.3831039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres55c7,024$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.1937953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres71c6,329$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.351,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Chicago Cubs48c6,055$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.45450%27 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Chicago Cubs57c5,364$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03223036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked Chicago Cubs50c4,972$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed San Diego Padres53c4,538$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.9216947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ab…76e2backed Chicago Cubs31c3,737$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed San Diego Padres53c3,598$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.8728258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Chicago Cubs47c3,380$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.8557744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres53c3,325$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.6828944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Chicago Cubs49c3,032$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.5811146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed San Diego Padres53c2,915$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.2419053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres56c2,915$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.2713655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres31c2,766$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.413666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs56c2,655$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.762,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Chicago Cubs27c2,590$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.678515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.9475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres41c2,463$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.3214243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres48c2,357$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.429,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs45c2,305$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.271,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs19c2,209$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.091,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres65c2,078$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago Cubs19c2,009$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.081,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94027451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9633852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Chicago Cubs2c1,941$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28296.9%2 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs45c1,924$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.311,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed San Diego Padres53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7826245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Chicago Cubs28c1,782$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4510240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.971,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs57c1,603$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.815,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres80c1,602$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.874,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs2c1,497$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.817341.1%30 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked San Diego Padres53c1,467$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.438053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs14c1,461$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.251,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Chicago Cubs21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.142540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9116…f76abacked San Diego Padres51c1,427$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Chicago Cubs21c1,356$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9113818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Chicago Cubs49c1,273$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.1114340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego Padres77c1,241$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4230647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Chicago Cubs40c1,232$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1119348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Chicago Cubs33c1,157$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.844744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs43c1,157$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3870735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Chicago Cubs18c1,080$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.237941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Chicago Cubs47c1,058$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2417452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed San Diego Padres41c1,047$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.0816543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Chicago Cubs12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs47c1,006$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.95,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked San Diego Padres78c986.8$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.117768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7527552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago Cubs11c959.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1753261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs42c958.57$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.441,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs49c953.66$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.361,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Chicago Cubs48c947.47$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Chicago Cubs13c895.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2319442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs49c890.09$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0351547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed San Diego Padres36c835.88$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4251756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Chicago Cubs35c823.71$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.318151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Chicago Cubs9c809.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9326315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ce7dbacked Chicago Cubs2c809.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs21c771.09$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.293,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc92d…a35ebacked Chicago Cubs13c757.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.845851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Chicago Cubs35c712.27$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.293461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Chicago Cubs48c706.42$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.085054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc64…8d0fbacked Chicago Cubs6c687.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.531030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+253.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Chicago Cubs50c684.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.527231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs47c670.5$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.141,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed San Diego Padres60c617.06$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.291,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed San Diego Padres54c615.19$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8320258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs30c607.91$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.065,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed San Diego Padres43c599.61$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.532347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres76c599.16$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.154,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.