MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1566f670b783dcebbff452810a32d8c9c96b985714e6b17d53a144d3367542e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Chicago Cubs, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb15…14f1backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 100,363$53,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,170.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 43,547$23,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,904.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 42,354$17,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,901.05 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 37,695$18,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,470.62 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 33,971$17,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,645.79 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 31,955$16,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,338.42 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 22,920$12,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,772.31 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 21,896$10,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,291.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 18,306$8,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,219.75 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 18,000$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,459.83 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 15,197$8,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,431.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 14,956$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 14,748$7,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.17 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…b09fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 12,416$6,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 11,973$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 10,080$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.86 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 9,930$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 9,798$6,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.46 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 9,370$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.36 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 7,969$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.32 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 7,266$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.32 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,192$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.35 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 7,072$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.38 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 7,024$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.19 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 6,329$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.35 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.4 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 5,364$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,972$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 4,538$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.92 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…76e2backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 3,737$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,598$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.87 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,380$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.85 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,325$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.68 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,032$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.58 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.24 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,915$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.27 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 2,766$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 2,655$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.76 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 2,590$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.67 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.94 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,463$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.32 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,357$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,305$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 2,209$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.09 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 2,078$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 2,009$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.08 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.96 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 1,941$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,924$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 1,782$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.45 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.97 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,603$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 1,602$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.87 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 1,497$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.43 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 1,461$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 1,356$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,273$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.11 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 1,241$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.42 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,232$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.11 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 1,157$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,157$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.38 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 1,080$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,058$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.24 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,047$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,006$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 959.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 958.57$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.44 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 953.66$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.36 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 947.47$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 895.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 890.09$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.03 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 835.88$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.42 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 823.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Chicago Cubs | 9c | 809.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ce7dbacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 809.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 771.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 757.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 712.27$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 706.42$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc64…8d0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 687.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +253.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 684.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 670.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 617.06$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 615.19$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.83 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 607.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 599.61$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 599.16$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.