TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hailey Baptisteof Aryna Sabalenka, Hailey Baptiste
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,862,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,000,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,862,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86fb…03d4backed Aryna Sabalenka3c861,952$24,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,470.8885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Aryna Sabalenka1c293,081$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Aryna Sabalenka27c111,387$30,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,006.813754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hailey Baptiste65c100,216$64,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,228.4834136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hailey Baptiste34c83,948$28,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,755.46,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb538…413ebacked Aryna Sabalenka1c59,821$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.625538.2%21 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hailey Baptiste77c57,771$44,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,326.361,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Aryna Sabalenka1c53,415$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.131,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Aryna Sabalenka0c52,802$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8263052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hailey Baptiste36c47,895$17,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,539.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Aryna Sabalenka1c43,062$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Aryna Sabalenka3c37,313$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.7932240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Aryna Sabalenka1c26,492$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.691,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hailey Baptiste16c18,788$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,7688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Aryna Sabalenka51c18,534$9,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,495.6330740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Hailey Baptiste49c17,025$8,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,631.7927846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Aryna Sabalenka1c14,877$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.281,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Hailey Baptiste12c14,781$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,007.3222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Aryna Sabalenka72c14,326$10,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,34030056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Hailey Baptiste56c10,221$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.446139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Hailey Baptiste51c9,821$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,820.9227460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Aryna Sabalenka40c9,564$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78015862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Hailey Baptiste4c9,456$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,083.11,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Aryna Sabalenka1c9,415$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5757052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hailey Baptiste37c9,402$3,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,962.5811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hailey Baptiste20c9,098$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,271.34,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Aryna Sabalenka77c9,048$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hailey Baptiste11c9,025$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,032.291,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eee…5806backed Hailey Baptiste23c8,831$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,837.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+342.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Aryna Sabalenka72c8,616$6,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,191.523,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Hailey Baptiste75c8,400$6,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.857951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Aryna Sabalenka26c7,702$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.462356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aryna Sabalenka75c7,458$5,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,572.546972.5%50 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed Aryna Sabalenka38c7,236$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.72055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Hailey Baptiste5c6,337$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.9244018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Aryna Sabalenka72c6,217$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.157953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Aryna Sabalenka63c6,144$3,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.081,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hailey Baptiste15c6,033$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,123.762,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Aryna Sabalenka77c5,785$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.9446473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Aryna Sabalenka73c5,681$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.9316746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Hailey Baptiste34c5,293$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Aryna Sabalenka78c5,131$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Aryna Sabalenka54c5,102$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.9493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hailey Baptiste28c4,748$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.5834047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Hailey Baptiste6c4,476$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.451,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Aryna Sabalenka76c4,382$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.812,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Aryna Sabalenka58c4,371$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.3733442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Aryna Sabalenka52c3,872$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Aryna Sabalenka78c3,851$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00053655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Aryna Sabalenka79c3,784$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Hailey Baptiste11c3,767$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35418315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Aryna Sabalenka41c3,604$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.5610954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hailey Baptiste39c3,282$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.355,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Aryna Sabalenka51c3,270$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.637444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Hailey Baptiste21c3,135$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.698344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Hailey Baptiste28c3,093$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.513427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Aryna Sabalenka0c3,036$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3460651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Hailey Baptiste29c3,004$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.899631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hailey Baptiste25c3,000$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24719835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d1…c18fbacked Hailey Baptiste40c2,965$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.8922562.7%141 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Hailey Baptiste11c2,654$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.9557447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Aryna Sabalenka27c2,632$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Aryna Sabalenka76c2,543$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.394122%9 W · 32 L-11.1wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Hailey Baptiste10c2,541$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.714443.1%62 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Aryna Sabalenka54c2,503$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.174932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Aryna Sabalenka49c2,500$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.0244360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hailey Baptiste21c2,500$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.2781938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Aryna Sabalenka25c2,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.4848652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9c…c8cfbacked Hailey Baptiste69c2,200$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6793100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Hailey Baptiste10c2,176$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.1459348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Aryna Sabalenka77c2,097$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.5952155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Aryna Sabalenka40c1,974$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79012944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Hailey Baptiste60c1,947$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.8645343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6355…8edfbacked Hailey Baptiste18c1,871$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.62425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Hailey Baptiste9c1,854$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.5948214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Aryna Sabalenka68c1,799$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2309856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hailey Baptiste55c1,782$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Hailey Baptiste29c1,707$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.5319835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Aryna Sabalenka66c1,675$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Hailey Baptiste79c1,673$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0160943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hailey Baptiste49c1,666$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.048,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27aa…3680backed Aryna Sabalenka62c1,612$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Aryna Sabalenka66c1,612$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.2280153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Aryna Sabalenka53c1,589$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Aryna Sabalenka67c1,548$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd2…b174backed Aryna Sabalenka72c1,544$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Aryna Sabalenka63c1,522$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.2524747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Aryna Sabalenka63c1,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9831255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Aryna Sabalenka55c1,448$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.311462.3%71 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Hailey Baptiste11c1,400$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.9812322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c0…eb65backed Aryna Sabalenka65c1,378$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Aryna Sabalenka64c1,345$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86050442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Aryna Sabalenka75c1,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013042.3%55 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Hailey Baptiste9c1,278$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.7820412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Aryna Sabalenka41c1,235$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51032851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Aryna Sabalenka57c1,234$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Aryna Sabalenka69c1,233$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.714252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Hailey Baptiste11c1,200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.5335932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hailey Baptiste38c1,164$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.852,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Aryna Sabalenka72c1,107$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6855243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.