Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b7840f9beb46006c20cba1bf160a567b1fc8fbac289ae84bc12868e7cf03e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $834,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $836,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $834,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 54c | 548,861$295,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,414.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 46c | 181,076$83,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,294.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 46c | 170,008$77,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,531.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 46c | 91,494$42,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,315.91 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 49,259$22,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,345.94 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 55c | 42,425$23,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,176.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 55c | 32,500$17,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,599.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 46c | 21,258$9,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,772.17 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 45c | 16,598$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,497.82 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 44c | 12,406$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.44 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 10,462$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.95 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 10,058$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.74 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 9,900$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 9,889$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.22 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 46c | 9,384$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.82 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 8,877$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yes | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.93 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 44c | 6,940$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.79 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 60c | 4,004$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.81 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 30c | 2,863$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 2,813$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.12 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 47c | 2,806$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 55c | 2,796$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.95 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 2,703$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.18 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 45c | 2,346$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 47c | 2,303$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.48 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 2,289$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.81 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 2,204$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 46c | 2,200$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,784$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 50c | 1,776$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,651$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.04 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 49c | 1,511$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 1,437$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.33 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 54c | 1,244$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.87 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 54c | 1,143$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 48c | 1,108$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 46c | 1,026$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.34 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 54c | 984.25$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.74 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 38c | 950.95$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.36 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 55c | 927.65$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 52c | 872.03$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.43 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 45c | 797.99$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…1b63backed Yes | 49c | 697.83$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 625.22$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.11 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 61c | 575.92$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 53c | 542.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 42c | 480.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 45c | 466.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 45c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 59c | 399.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 45c | 327.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 56c | 296$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…23bcbacked Yes | 44c | 289.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 43c | 277.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 55c | 263.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Yes | 46c | 241.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 54c | 231.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 44c | 229.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…e405backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 225$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…23ebbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 47c | 214.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…0615backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 207.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…b7c6backed Yes | 45c | 203$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Leeds United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.