TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$635,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked Yes28c520,439$143,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,593.021643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No72c125,461$90,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,050.9810357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes27c42,629$11,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,606.244045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No72c29,841$21,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,357.0917958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No72c26,598$19,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,413.184153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed No74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.891952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No72c16,000$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes29c15,243$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.316860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No73c14,909$10,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,010.22857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70021154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes28c8,400$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c6,935$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.256,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No73c4,616$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.3220140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes26c4,339$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.136630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No73c3,135$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No75c2,953$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.075451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No72c2,917$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.7624566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,710$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No75c2,497$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.193847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes28c2,379$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6661643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No72c2,379$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6662853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes29c2,230$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.8179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c2,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes27c1,502$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.359235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No75c1,502$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.824766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbc…d404backed Yes21c1,200$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21621656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c732.31$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c717.68$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No76c660.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.217248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c515$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.71,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes25c500.6$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1520027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No71c482$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Yes31c421$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.942860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No80c384.7$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.745056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Yes29c356.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes19c350$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6278…57e6backed Yes25c321.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c320.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.251,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c314.57$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.024,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x538f…b40ebacked No71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871586.7%13 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked No77c288.47$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.35966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd8…3047backed Yes26c284.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5149…1fc0backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No72c227.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.785149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed No72c211$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0811855.1%65 W · 53 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No69c210$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb1…2d65backed No73c206.85$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked No73c200.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2829427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes26c192.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…11c0backed Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db8…2d38backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7f…b28abacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed Yes29c129.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.73959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No77c122$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3126054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No70c106.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.066450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2812959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8953…e093backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+103.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd08a…de3abacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x898d…f6a5backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes30c98.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes28c96.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No71c86.07$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.967560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0340…f4d0backed No78c82.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9660…33b3backed Yes28c81.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Yes29c80.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes27c75.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes26c71.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.563644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7902…43f8backed No75c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…2649backed No73c66.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes18c66.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed No72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.684654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No73c50.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6820059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No73c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5552060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7621…e3efbacked No71c40.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…5086backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes30c36.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0514953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…b920backed Yes30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No76c34.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.565259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed No71c25.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb030…9afdbacked No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5519460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.