Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e88693af826adcdd9ff18b200d2e4fc70a768c168bde5053d6b235bea5c3192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 27c | 144,555$39,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,525.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed No | 40c | 12,499$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 60c | 9,518$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 8,239$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.8 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 27c | 8,003$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 61c | 3,630$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.87 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 39c | 3,427$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.91 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 59c | 1,203$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.89 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 1,143$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.86 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 41c | 1,065$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.75 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 57c | 963$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.43 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 38c | 869.72$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 60c | 835.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.02 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 61c | 821.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 50c | 517.14$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 497.43$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.15 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 41c | 467.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 449.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.09 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 58c | 342.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 78c | 320$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…0dcebacked Yes | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 72c | 278$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 72c | 234.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 65c | 222.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 36c | 211$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 29c | 101$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 77c | 89.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 65c | 76.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…714dbacked Yes | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 53c | 56.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 34c | 54.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…6f51backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…9663backed Yes | 39c | 38.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 37c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 54c | 25.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 17.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.