Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67de726b70f71c39ace3b42f8cbdf49aed82d39f6e2edd16dfcd611f4fbaf5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 23c | 30,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 8,942$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,053.75 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 7,240$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 3,270$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.49 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 2,767$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.56 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 23c | 2,533$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.46 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…5c09backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 45c | 2,000$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,703$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.53 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,602$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.72 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 17c | 919.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 59c | 915.52$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.82 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 761.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.38 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 739.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.61 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 690.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 72c | 667.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 80c | 613.43$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 477.88$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 69c | 304$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 19c | 299.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 69c | 292.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 41c | 277.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 21c | 271.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2293…8c25backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 16c | 191.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 16c | 176.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…22cebacked Yes | 33c | 176.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 46c | 154.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 64c | 141$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…06b4backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 30c | 94.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 79c | 93.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 19c | 86.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 19c | 77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 79c | 74.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 20c | 68.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…5cb2backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 17c | 65.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 72c | 54.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 54.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…634bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 69c | 37.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 19.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 15.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…2e37backed No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 80c | 12.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.