Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ea2735ff99f62ca38e6c73181471c8d5a53dbd57fe6727ad14aee9dfb0d02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Over | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 1,421$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,295$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Over | 63c | 1,225$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 1,146$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.66 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 63c | 1,089$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 1,049$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 662.14$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.89 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 50c | 566.28$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 59c | 522$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 340.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 62c | 192.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 64c | 177$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 174$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…66b0backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…5cb2backed Over | 63c | 150.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 37c | 141$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 131.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 38c | 124$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 60c | 116.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 52c | 109.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 37c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 34c | 89.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 38c | 77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 62c | 71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 64c | 52.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…6396backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 62c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 66c | 24.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.