Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f989c0e221628e7614b797f2c7e4a4cf652dfcbc501f770dc275f600310d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AFC Ajaxof Feyenoord Rotterdam, AFC Ajax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed AFC Ajax | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 20c | 1,915$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5c | 1,249$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 24c | 399.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed AFC Ajax | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked AFC Ajax | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed AFC Ajax | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked AFC Ajax | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed AFC Ajax | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed AFC Ajax | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed AFC Ajax | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed AFC Ajax | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)this page
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.