Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c49ec7476bf51321951b108fa569cb77cc3094b7ec1e9d50cd6bb7fed7b0d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 68c | 1,466$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 31c | 1,176$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.24 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 68c | 657.25$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.76 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 636.76$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 57c | 460.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 36c | 249.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 36c | 117$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 116.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 36c | 104$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 36c | 94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 55.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Yes | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 68c | 39.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 39.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 64c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Yes | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 64c | 31.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…850bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Yes | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Yes | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 70c | 21.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.