Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b2a690e9f27a1e558f78dc8858dc13a4c4d0513852c69d69d8653a90ba4838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 2,510$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.99 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 2c | 2,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +457%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 10c | 1,249$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 50c | 1,199$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.86 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 773.42$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 15c | 600.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 151.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…87c9backed Under | 18c | 148.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 100.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 16c | 78.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.