TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c7,313$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.932,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over76c2,624$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.412867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over60c2,476$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.243250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.675655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under24c912.57$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0220827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under31c894.64$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over49c830.61$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over64c770.13$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.348957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c768.74$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.4415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c622.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.931,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under24c599.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.487464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over76c454.9$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over76c293.49$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.494969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2415648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under25c249.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over78c230.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.911163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c187.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under31c171.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Under36c162.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592025%5 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under34c156.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8115045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under35c142.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over78c140.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.932860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Over76c130$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.23066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under25c123$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9428931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under25c106$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under24c99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over79c98.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7310951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under24c95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over75c78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under25c73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.954776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under25c61.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd335…c854backed Over75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under25c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under25c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1717058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over75c43.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.964136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under24c43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3217142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Over76c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Over76c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over75c36.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.17065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Over75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Over75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over74c32.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.369078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Over75c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over75c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over76c28.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9512347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under40c27.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over76c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Over75c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over75c26.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.726349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd9…431dbacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Over75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Over75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Over75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over76c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Over76c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked Over76c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Over75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Over75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x098e…bf0abacked Over76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Over75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Over75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Over75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17d…f9b4backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Over75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.