TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under73c27,376$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,375.714566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Under80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c9,701$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.052,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over29c3,889$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.8496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over67c3,375$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.391546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002688.5%23 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c1,067$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over12c604.1$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under51c575$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.257345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under74c519.9$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ee…bb0abacked Over51c459.92$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over55c450$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over27c444.57$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2120841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Over56c444$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6480%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c345.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15213142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bda…6c8abacked Over30c343.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over43c340$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.26863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8118459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over27c288.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over26c268$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ead…3183backed Over58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over27c240$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over27c240$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under72c208$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.93151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Over66c189.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under72c180$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.051573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under73c152$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over21c139.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.367544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under73c131$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over15c130$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c127.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.47746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.49447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Over17c119.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over29c119$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9328445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over17c111.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.233135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under72c111$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.151844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under66c109.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.052556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over27c105$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.352231.8%7 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2816842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Over68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under73c99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under43c96.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.075255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under73c96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.923360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over25c92.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1436852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under73c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.572657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under73c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d36…3948backed Under35c91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under73c86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under73c85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.952564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under72c82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over34c79.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2c…8e1cbacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under66c75.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under73c74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.982642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under71c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.172568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over25c66.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.711546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under72c64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under73c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over24c61.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92025%5 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.