TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x128a…f49ebacked No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c1,037$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes28c876.06$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes40c720.66$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.066431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No56c584.17$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Yes21c443.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2480%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c426.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes43c318.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1376428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes23c299.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes24c209.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes43c209$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.122462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ead…3183backed Yes26c190.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes42c165$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No63c160.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Yes42c143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Yes43c142.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.852657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Yes42c127$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed No57c121$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.062055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Yes43c118$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.781258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Yes42c110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Yes43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.381573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed No71c108.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes42c103.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Yes42c103$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.262157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No65c102.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes42c101$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.421838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes42c98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes35c93.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4810736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…c8bbbacked No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes42c86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Yes44c82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf05…79febacked No78c73.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed No58c72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.723458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Yes30c64.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Yes42c63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Yes42c61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.622045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked No58c58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.942339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Yes43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Yes42c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed No57c47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x706c…7752backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed No58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Yes42c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.641471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked No58c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed No57c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed No57c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Yes43c40.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52025%5 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.14839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked No57c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked No58c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed No57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed No57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked No57c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.098651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.052445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152070%14 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes42c33.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.154242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed No58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed No57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes45c30.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.485844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Yes43c29.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed No58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed No58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed No57c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed No57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.041353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed No57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed No58c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1076…ac16backed Yes44c27.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed No58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed No58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed No58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked No56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed No58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed No58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed No58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked No58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked No57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed No58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked No57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.