Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256583663ff50bf858d3ded193fc696eab39ddf1a665ba2842c628aa6d063ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Milanof AC Milan, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 24,032$13,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,527.91 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 17,121$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 13,260$7,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked AC Milan | 44c | 10,999$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.55 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed AC Milan | 44c | 8,537$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AC Milan | 45c | 8,415$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.5 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed AC Milan | 44c | 8,263$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.04 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AC Milan | 45c | 5,113$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked AC Milan | 43c | 3,050$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked AC Milan | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked AC Milan | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked AC Milan | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked AC Milan | 43c | 1,379$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.79 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed AC Milan | 45c | 1,300$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed AC Milan | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed AC Milan | 45c | 595.2$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed AC Milan | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed AC Milan | 45c | 507.49$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked AC Milan | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…c8bbbacked AC Milan | 45c | 331.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked AC Milan | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed AC Milan | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 296.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 289.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed AC Milan | 42c | 269.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 264.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 260$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…5cfebacked AC Milan | 44c | 240.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 237.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed AC Milan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked AC Milan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed AC Milan | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed AC Milan | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Hellas Verona FC | 61c | 209.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked AC Milan | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AC Milan | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed AC Milan | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed AC Milan | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked AC Milan | 40c | 174.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 172.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 156.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked AC Milan | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed AC Milan | 46c | 135.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 55c | 129.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked AC Milan | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 119$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Hellas Verona FC | 10c | 112.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 111.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…0803backed Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 108.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked AC Milan | 42c | 100.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked AC Milan | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 52c | 98.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed AC Milan | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed AC Milan | 45c | 75.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed AC Milan | 43c | 68.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed AC Milan | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed AC Milan | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AC Milan | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…b10bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 56.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…819fbacked AC Milan | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 52.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed AC Milan | 39c | 52.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Hellas Verona FC | 22c | 50.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked AC Milan | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked AC Milan | 41c | 48.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked AC Milan | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed AC Milan | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AC Milan | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed AC Milan | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…8487backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 40.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Hellas Verona FC | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…5305backed AC Milan | 45c | 38.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 38.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed AC Milan | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed AC Milan | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked AC Milan | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed AC Milan | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed AC Milan | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed AC Milan | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hellas Verona FC | 55c | 31.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed AC Milan | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked AC Milan | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…e799backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 29.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed AC Milan | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)this page
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.