NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b78b94448e6358d9650c72eee2798d10f6405396fc063c994e676e4877e0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfda1…6253backed Over | 46c | 18,500$8,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,990 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…4c15backed Under | 54c | 18,500$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,513$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.95 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 46c | 4,650$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 1,826$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 1,100$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,039$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 48c | 804.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.57 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 53c | 628$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.84 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Over | 76c | 506.16$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 486.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 24c | 439.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4d64backed Under | 54c | 258.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 46c | 231.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…9431backed Over | 47c | 186.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 54c | 171.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 146.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 59c | 133$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 90.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 47c | 90.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 86.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 63.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 58.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 40.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 45c | 39.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…854bbacked Over | 47c | 32.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. BruinsBruins won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.