TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over52c48,754$25,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,311.0311848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c17,601$8,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,974.432,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over52c8,700$4,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4973324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16038744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c7,839$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.711,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over35c6,144$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.41650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Under48c4,300$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.637358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under52c3,405$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.813164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over53c3,171$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.8711837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c2,084$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.1296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0408251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over79c1,500$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1851861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c965.76$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.2991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3962268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6905…e3c2backed Over53c801.89$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41610152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over58c728.73$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2314351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over75c720.38$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.2415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Under51c705.88$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.889046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c541.07$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.28757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over53c503.58$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.98744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under48c440.88$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over52c433.46$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.42458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c427.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5314936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under48c391.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c349.43$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over54c333.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c299.96$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9813152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over41c290.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under61c272.56$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over59c253.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.711547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c234.43$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.664136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over40c211$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.141266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under69c207.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.332391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+48.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10411550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under21c199.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.997226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Under48c164.68$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.632055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under47c148.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over59c144$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under48c134.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1614452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Under72c129$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.221681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over57c127.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.927064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over53c126.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.47746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Over52c119.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Over53c118.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under64c117$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6711546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Over53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over59c106.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Over74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742969%20 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over59c83.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Over31c80.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84070%28 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.