Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8e782cf07ba6cdc441c4ca695c155f43c82c1e9dc140f0a5c2bc99a618300b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 64c | 2,035$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.03 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 34c | 1,800$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.37 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,264$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 39c | 1,139$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…2638backed No | 64c | 875$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 61c | 626.63$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 62c | 426.92$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 332.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 119.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 11c | 116.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 48c | 104.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 38.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 66c | 32.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 68c | 22.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.