TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under49c217,890$106,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,190.953164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c55,281$28,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,043.316045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c43,903$22,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,390.3852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c39,880$20,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,338.8193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Over52c39,049$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,4002035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under48c24,455$11,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,811.044351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under49c17,484$8,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,848.294463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c12,600$6,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,342.42227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c9,730$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over22c8,119$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.683324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under48c7,731$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.874757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c7,240$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c4,902$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.241,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c4,530$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.316046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c4,374$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.1298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over52c4,240$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked Over49c3,454$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5304040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5909952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5308251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Under73c2,136$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.271855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0404727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Under49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9183100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Under49c1,665$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c1,517$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.6737250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,505$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.0222947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under47c1,499$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.53948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6761637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over53c1,110$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Over50c1,100$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over37c944.07$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.859627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…f93cbacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under47c909.15$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.852060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under48c907.14$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.1814142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c823.53$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Over52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over51c725.9$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.0328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Over53c660.61$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over49c613$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.373164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over51c586.19$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.969826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over53c564.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c552.75$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under64c511.19$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over53c510$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.36949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over54c502.35$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.277254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Over54c500.54$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.29911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over51c435.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over52c426.22$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.63850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under50c424$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over52c410$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Under52c371.85$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.315847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.316851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over53c311.32$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over52c310.74$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.583050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over53c306.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15313152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15313648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe390…73ffbacked Over7c297.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed Over53c288.62$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over50c283.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over51c273.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6716448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over46c255$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.211546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over54c252$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.183571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.58948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over51c224.53$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.517847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over51c222.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0119542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under45c208$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over34c195.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.143030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Over52c194.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.911550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.