TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c21,003$10,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,236.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.993324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over57c5,236$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c2,794$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.311,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c2,762$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.9298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over78c2,310$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.82867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Over70c2,300$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6101163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under25c1,800$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35020827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Over52c1,375$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over45c999.99$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-77.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c932.74$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under14c868.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.733129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over78c769.23$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under23c754.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.659627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over78c695.05$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.225768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Over77c626.97$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.77666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over48c622.41$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.084551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under24c612.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.79826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.614035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c588.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over34c573.88$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.852254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over38c527.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c389.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.366829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over53c336.04$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.156439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3356…92c2backed Under48c333.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over78c332.34$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over28c314.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4211144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over58c299.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.986863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Over70c289.86$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Over34c269.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over75c227$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over24c209.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over39c194.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over57c185.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over11c185.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over59c184.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.774136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under22c170$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08d…580fbacked Over78c169.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over78c166.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.252070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under23c163.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1133144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over59c155.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.243030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c148.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c147.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over54c147.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under23c147$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Over76c146.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.65875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over44c135.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2564…08c2backed Over78c132.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Over78c112.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over63c110.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1111546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over77c110$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.74060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4697…d04bbacked Over79c109.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under70c105$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.554131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6712052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.515623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over77c97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.691450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.185752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6811856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under60c90.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.388748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Over48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Under24c84.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8604…cb8fbacked Over49c80.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under22c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.417955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over70c79.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.224139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…d61bbacked Under53c78.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0635…5cb5backed Over78c74.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Over78c65.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e8…c577backed Over78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under25c59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4514452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c58.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under23c56.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bb…b369backed Over76c55.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under23c54.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8710152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over51c52.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.856043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over43c52.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.395131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.