Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022dc490d4d712276048524a82ab7119659f80463e05fe1c762d1aca0681b538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 13,941$6,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 7,776$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.23 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Over | 53c | 6,705$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Over | 56c | 3,132$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Under | 44c | 3,132$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,144$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.45 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 55c | 599.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.71 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 52c | 560.2$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.09 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 409.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 406$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.01 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 329.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 308$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 258.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 207.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 73c | 204.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 169.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 165.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 31c | 161.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 34c | 135$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 121.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 48c | 112.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 54c | 101.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 79.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 202 | 56.9%115 W · 87 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 32c | 78.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 71.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 56c | 62.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 59.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…66f4backed Under | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 56c | 51.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 33c | 37.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0458backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 28.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Under | 48c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 24.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…cdadbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…9099backed Over | 53c | 19.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 70c | 16.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.