Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b86c046efab8cf9443ab95e36675653f9746c856c3b3c3fa8fe0540f58d800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 2c | 5,132$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 4,580$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.42 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 78c | 3,454$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.14 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 2,266$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 78c | 504.71$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 9c | 274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 20c | 161.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 126.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Over | 80c | 80.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 80c | 63.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 78c | 27.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.