Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d39f967e07819895c8c31208d2e6aa984a5094994a5f0e86c1c45357fb6b71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 3,961$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.08 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,339$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.6 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 1,097$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.38 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 62c | 625$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 524.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 62c | 523.25$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 511$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.82 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 393.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 55c | 320.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 29c | 268$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 59c | 237$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 62c | 201.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 42c | 163.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 146.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes | 62c | 116.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 40c | 110.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 66c | 105.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 41c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…affbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 62c | 93.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 61c | 90.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 40c | 90.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 41c | 84.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 60c | 83.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Yes | 59c | 51.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…3389backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…52aebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 37.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 35.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed No | 67c | 29.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…98aabacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.