Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0415efc66145567e8f0882108a4fa1a070305a744d642212da420507f1e8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 47c | 61,250$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 53c | 47,489$24,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,544.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 48c | 30,794$14,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,822.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 17,548$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,408.52 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 4,665$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 3,689$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.72 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 3,373$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.69 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 46c | 2,805$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 56c | 2,684$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 2,664$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.13 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,290$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.67 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 53c | 1,177$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…c146backed Over | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 59c | 1,086$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 54c | 757$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 541$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 43c | 401.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 55c | 366.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 343.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 339$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 46c | 280.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 35c | 279.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Under | 51c | 259.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 48c | 241.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 45c | 206$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 58c | 202.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 51c | 201$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Over | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 54c | 185.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 15c | 175.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 169.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 52c | 156$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Under | 44c | 91.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Under | 61c | 84.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 45c | 83.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 55c | 83.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 48c | 82.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 53c | 77.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 53c | 77.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 72c | 73.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 52c | 72.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 48c | 53.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under | 55c | 53.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…81cbbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…b6f7backed Under | 52c | 49.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 44.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 53c | 42.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 54c | 35.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed Under | 57c | 32.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 56c | 30.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Under | 71c | 30.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 46c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…1326backed Over | 48c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 51c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 47c | 22.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…9b99backed Over | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.