Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae601d33fa7ed85c87e5adcbce67409a2d772d0464bd799711436de943798b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Yes | 50c | 13,233$6,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,616.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…91afbacked No | 50c | 13,228$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,251$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.21 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,045$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 45c | 515$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 354.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 38c | 316.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 51c | 72.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 64c | 51.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 54c | 19.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.