TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over47c163,819$76,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,239.023930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c81,978$43,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,256.352,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Over0c20,643$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c20,082$11,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c12,995$7,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.142,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over39c10,190$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.282646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under54c10,044$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,622.0925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under54c10,000$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65021965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c5,198$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.941,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Under56c3,723$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.212948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,733$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.474,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Under53c2,597$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under53c2,446$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.644052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under55c1,836$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.3612649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c1,553$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.381,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21a…c0c6backed Under56c1,498$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c1,281$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.4439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Under57c1,213$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.822055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under53c1,175$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.478065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under53c1,174$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.94751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under55c1,145$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4520054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c991$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0521056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under63c912.2$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.931,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.093246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39614943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32929427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under55c690.91$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9111346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c639$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over47c627.46$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under73c607.01$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under71c550$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.51560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over46c502.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over48c489.63$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under54c480$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c480$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.835157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Over31c479.23$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over44c469.7$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under54c450$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20719357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under75c427.5$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2716160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18425560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c329.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.124050%20 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13825553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c282.48$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.81,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over48c277.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Under54c244.28$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.373148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.425456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.432656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.432357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over12c238.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5911712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Under59c218.65$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under51c206.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over49c203.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Under75c202.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.693762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.44742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Over39c169.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.777147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6416552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over24c143.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.816863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.426959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under57c138.1$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.816038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over35c136.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0435743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Under55c133$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf187…b390backed Over46c128.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under54c127.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a66…8079backed Under55c127$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under54c121.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.228458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over30c121.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9529041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.