Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8707f6bdd2b102779d93989a3b39c2d34f56b0267e6e9df55dfdc5973423450d

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,345 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes	54c	10,003$5,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,579.7	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	47c	6,802$3,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,188.92	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	46c	2,616$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.32	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No	48c	1,827$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No	45c	1,550$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.23	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No	46c	1,498$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.99	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes	54c	1,443$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.65	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	52c	1,363$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.98	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	54c	1,011$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.61	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No	45c	700$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No	46c	513.92$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.41	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	-8.5wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Yes	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	53c	432.42$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.75	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes	54c	425.93$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.93	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No	45c	395.92$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.16	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No	50c	300.99$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.7	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked No	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Yes	54c	152.5$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	52c	121.97$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.42	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No	46c	116.8$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	61.6%61 W · 38 L	+13.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes	46c	96.83$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.83	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes	53c	94.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.65	170	17.6%30 W · 140 L	-27.5wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4172…1bb1backed Yes	54c	93$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.78	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed No	48c	91.67$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes	49c	78.87$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.58	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	50c	76.92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.52	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	46c	62.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes	54c	49.65$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked No	48c	49.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes	53c	49.06$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Yes	55c	47.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	110	60.9%67 W · 43 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	46c	45.92$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.99	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed No	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3164…85efbacked Yes	53c	41.51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes	43c	39$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.16	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Yes	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	54c	35.19$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.19	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No	47c	31.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Yes	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes	50c	27.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcfb…4bb1backed Yes	54c	27.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78d…355abacked Yes	44c	27.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8be…a268backed Yes	69c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes	53c	24.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Yes	53c	23.58$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb02…b642backed Yes	54c	23.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes	54c	21.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed No	48c	21.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Yes	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba54…409fbacked Yes	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed No	55c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event