Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796167c05949077208e2e646da93be3fb362fc87ff76ddd4b61a81507b661bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulham FCof Crystal Palace FC, Fulham FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc9…67f9backed Crystal Palace FC | 5c | 6,624$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fulham FC | 80c | 5,003$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fulham FC | 80c | 3,600$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Crystal Palace FC | 19c | 2,504$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Crystal Palace FC | 22c | 2,062$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.64 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Crystal Palace FC | 20c | 1,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Fulham FC | 80c | 1,056$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 22c | 781.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Crystal Palace FC | 22c | 443$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Fulham FC | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Fulham FC | 80c | 159.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Crystal Palace FC | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fulham FC | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Crystal Palace FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…25f4backed Fulham FC | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Fulham FC | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Fulham FC | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Fulham FC | 80c | 47.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Fulham FC | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Fulham FC | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…1200backed Fulham FC | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Fulham FC | 77c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.