Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9c2d48df56405366144e5137a84ae99f9d7fc5d04613d1b00272c343ed476b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 76c | 32,971$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,970.74 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 7,051$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 5,576$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.53 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 3,823$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 23c | 731.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 24c | 700$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 26c | 383.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 24c | 380$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 25c | 375$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 79c | 253.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…0f59backed Under | 76c | 180.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 22c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 26c | 102.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 24c | 99.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked Under | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 75c | 42.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 41.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 73c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked Under | 77c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Under | 78c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.