Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6310315e9bea180249f77221c49932f15b54f79a27959ae08cee9c5c2c0b02fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 2,842$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,075$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 987.94$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 933.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 38c | 726.84$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.55 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 29c | 691.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 572.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 554.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 73c | 452.05$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 415.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 65c | 391.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 73c | 373.93$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 74c | 369.86$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 49c | 355.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 33c | 319.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 305.59$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 73c | 301.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 67c | 300.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 232.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Under | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 35c | 165.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 58c | 155.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 73c | 144$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Under | 24c | 131.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 73c | 130.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Over | 73c | 127.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Under | 36c | 114.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Over | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 74c | 80.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 54c | 64.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 22c | 50.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 50.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 40.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 61c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 73c | 25.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked Over | 73c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…a094backed Over | 73c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.