Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa3317d6e00c3d66eb33d408f015cfb2dd7f0af52c13747964447c33dbaee18

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $110,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,741 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over	54c	52,439$28,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,317.06	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under	46c	40,000$18,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,599.99	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+33%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under	47c	23,755$11,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,618.25	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under	46c	21,641$9,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,686.07	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	54c	10,165$5,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,460.6	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Over	53c	7,451$3,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,948.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	47c	7,000$3,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,710	205	44.9%92 W · 113 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Under	47c	4,267$2,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,263.46	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	53c	2,942$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.27	527	48%253 W · 274 L	-35.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	27c	1,749$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.25	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	54c	1,390$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.3	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over	54c	825.93$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	53c	800$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	53c	420$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.6	255	56.5%144 W · 111 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	53c	420$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.6	184	59.2%109 W · 75 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	53c	420$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.6	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9da…81d7backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	53c	330$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.9	158	47.5%75 W · 83 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	53c	330$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.9	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	136	48.5%66 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	53c	250$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.5	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	20.8%15 W · 57 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	58c	238.44$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.24	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	32c	235.59$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.16	149	36.2%54 W · 95 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	47c	229.43$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.83	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	49c	202.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	31%44 W · 98 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	41c	170.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	387	39.8%154 W · 233 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	53c	160$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.8	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over	54c	158.7$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.7	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under	46c	154.35$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.35	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over	62c	150.39$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.71	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	47cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	54c	140.9$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.09	164	48.8%80 W · 84 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	53c	120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	136	50.7%69 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	53c	120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	39c	119.83$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.56	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Over	55c	119$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	63c	116.29$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	248	49.2%122 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under	42c	109.4$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.45	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	52c	109.4$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.51	592	40.7%241 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	194	36.1%70 W · 124 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	60c	108.04$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	58.7%105 W · 74 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Over	55c	94$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	55c	93.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	339	51.6%175 W · 164 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	53c	90.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.22	229	47.6%109 W · 120 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over	44c	89.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+16%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	152	38.8%59 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Over	55c	83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.65	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over	25c	79.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	63c	79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	114	60.5%69 W · 45 L	+14.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	345	53.9%186 W · 159 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	53c	67.91$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under	47c	63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.39	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Over	55c	52$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Over	56c	50.02$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Under	45c	46$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over	40c	41.83$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	56c	41.38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	44c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under	45c	37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.35	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	53cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over	34c	36.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	47c	36.36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	331	44.7%148 W · 183 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…ea19backed Over	56c	34.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Under	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Under	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	67c	29.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	170	58.2%99 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under	45c	29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	54c	26.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	76c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	368	52.7%194 W · 174 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5this page
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Under won
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event