Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0629fda4254ffc3fc584510d510ac1e1adcb2a4b21d1a972e7010cb0d234df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 9,696$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,644$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Over | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 23c | 1,082$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.49 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 684.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.71 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 65c | 529.37$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 77c | 479.71$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 398.08$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 375.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.21 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 222.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 32c | 199.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 194.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 185.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 173.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 173.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 80c | 173$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 36c | 163.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 146.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 79c | 144$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 22c | 141.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Over | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 78c | 134$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Over | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 67c | 106.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 70c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 74c | 95.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 77c | 95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 89.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 77c | 83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 76c | 74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 64c | 69.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Under | 24c | 66.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 20c | 63.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 79c | 58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 24c | 49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 40c | 45.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 50c | 45.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Under | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Over | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Over | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 48c | 23.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 21.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…1133backed Over | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.