Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3021591e7ddfa8d55f8a8e5dd3968cf9bfac344001478adad433c2b44ab1913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VfL Wolfsburgof FC Bayern München, VfL Wolfsburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 22,363$11,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,354.97 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 18,887$10,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 9,620$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.37 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 8,749$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 8,383$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.93 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 5,005$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.48 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 4,339$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.23 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 4,254$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.03 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 3,837$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 3,052$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 2,624$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.32 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 2,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 2,342$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.66 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 2,135$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.95 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 2,046$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.2 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 1,729$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.43 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked FC Bayern München | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…755dbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,165$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 59c | 940.55$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…67febacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 891.16$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed VfL Wolfsburg | 48c | 769.97$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.63 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 764.52$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 712$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 695.76$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 693.02$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 54c | 689.28$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 584.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 549.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.89 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed VfL Wolfsburg | 59c | 448.31$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed VfL Wolfsburg | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 396.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 385.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 254.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked VfL Wolfsburg | 48c | 253$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…d9dcbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 220.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 219.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 213.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 188.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 173.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 171.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked VfL Wolfsburg | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 168.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 54c | 162.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 154$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed VfL Wolfsburg | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 138.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 132.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 132.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 129.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 127.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 125.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed VfL Wolfsburg | 48c | 123.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 111.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 108.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 105.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 102.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 88.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed VfL Wolfsburg | 63c | 87.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed VfL Wolfsburg | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 79.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 79.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 73.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…a6bbbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 70c | 71.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed VfL Wolfsburg | 70c | 70.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…a6f4backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.