Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e904118fa612166bf956638c076b472d0cc77e373272d053ddab82e02d2cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 42c | 29,688$12,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,613.73 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 12,747$7,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 12,336$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 58c | 6,382$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.92 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 40c | 4,800$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.98 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 42c | 3,516$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 2,851$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.18 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 2,617$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.38 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 46c | 2,600$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…5ba1backed Under | 55c | 2,185$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 1,968$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.87 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 40c | 1,866$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 1,755$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.5 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 1,642$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 1,622$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.53 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 37c | 788.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 58c | 601.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 574.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 57c | 524.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 58c | 511.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 70c | 473.76$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 454.3$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 388$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 42c | 383.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 57c | 361.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 344.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 44c | 320.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 58c | 299.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…1575backed Over | 40c | 267.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 33c | 239$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…8634backed Under | 59c | 219.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…6ca9backed Over | 40c | 209.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 202.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 194.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 188.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…7baebacked Over | 42c | 152.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 37c | 152.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 55c | 142.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3da3backed Under | 58c | 137.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 22c | 117.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 38c | 100.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 89.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 42c | 66.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 60c | 65.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 59c | 62.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 61.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 53c | 60.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 59c | 50.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 40c | 49.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…363ebacked Over | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 58c | 40.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 56c | 39.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 39.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 59c | 36.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 57c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…4e5fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…ef8ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 23.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 58c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked Under | 58c | 18.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.