Bundesliga · resolved market

VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd214b764b3f77f98f822bada23fb53cc25e989a6c3edce6c193270a728468f22

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,830 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	10,343$4,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,403.56	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over	52c	6,650$3,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,487.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	20c	4,958$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,971.47	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	79c	4,700$3,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,734.98	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over	42c	3,738$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.16	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	3,440$1,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,723.01	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over	75c	2,602$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.37	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over	45c	2,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.99	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	62cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	1,684$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.5	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under	50c	1,000$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	20c	757.33$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.28	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	58c	683.45$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.66	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	56c	670.47$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.86	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over	50c	415$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.5	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	20c	372.94$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.21	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over	44c	368.48$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.13	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over	45c	324.44$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-83%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	52c	315$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.25	346	55.5%192 W · 154 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	48c	299.86$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.87	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over	79c	247.9$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.5	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	61c	245.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.06	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under	22c	227.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.27	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	22c	222$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.16	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+8.8wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	21c	208.12$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.84	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	63cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over	50c	200$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	23c	195$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.3	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	49c	195$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.75	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4349…0b79backed Over	80c	193.75$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over	68c	181$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.5	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	41c	180.21$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	41c	170.21$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…f1aabacked Over	46c	167.61$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	20c	164.38$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.14	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	79c	164.18$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.47	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	62c	162$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	20c	154.04$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.49	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	51c	142.52$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.7	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	80c	141.34$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.46	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbe…595dbacked Over	79c	137$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Under	23c	130.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	48c	121.23$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.98	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	38c	111.59$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.91	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	50c	111.18$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.59	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+98.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	39c	101.7$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	147	55.8%82 W · 65 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	146	42.5%62 W · 84 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over	59c	99.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.99	115	39.1%45 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	18c	92.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.66	624	52.6%328 W · 296 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	21c	83.98$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.07	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under	26c	81.8$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.8	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under	44c	72.73$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.73	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+8.1wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over	78c	72$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.16	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	50c	71.72$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.86	215	40.9%88 W · 127 L	-15.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x797f…aa36backed Under	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over	36c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	395	58.7%232 W · 163 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb52b…fc98backed Under	22c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+180.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over	51c	49.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	49c	46.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under	55c	43.1$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.39	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	160	46.9%75 W · 85 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	66c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	130	73.1%95 W · 35 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a6…b274backed Over	70c	35.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x823f…0490backed Over	80c	35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ceb…40b0backed Under	74c	33.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a19…e08bbacked Over	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	62c	32.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	55c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	78c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over	42c	28.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	47c	26.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.17	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over	77c	25.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…ab5fbacked Over	77c	25.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x872e…7a6bbacked Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under	52c	24.36$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.5wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over	76c	24.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over	80c	24.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Under	42c	23.79$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	64cpaid	+28%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over	63c	23.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over	55c	21.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…729cbacked Over	59c	20.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Under won
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event