Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1d7bff6414d3a4c4ee5f7c0527b18b8970c89477df5c751357e8ac86870898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 59c | 11,819$6,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,981.69 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 10,081$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 64c | 7,860$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 5,451$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.39 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 4,394$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.72 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 63c | 3,900$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 36c | 3,003$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.04 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.97 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 62c | 2,686$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 38c | 2,555$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.65 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,247$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed Under | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 38c | 1,787$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.57 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 41c | 1,708$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 57c | 1,644$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked Over | 65c | 1,543$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 42c | 1,353$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 1,238$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.05 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 1,181$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.04 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 37c | 1,003$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 954.55$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.18 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 41c | 846.34$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 41c | 711.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 42c | 700$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 692.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.24 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 42c | 691.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…5ba1backed Under | 39c | 641.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 41c | 640.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 41c | 547.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 496.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.09 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 65c | 461.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 450$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Under | 42c | 439.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…917ebacked Over | 34c | 396$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 64c | 390.52$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Over | 66c | 381.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 65c | 346.68$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 42c | 333$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 319.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 299.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 297.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 42c | 292.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 42c | 272.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 22c | 263.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 254.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Over | 24c | 245.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 241$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Over | 32c | 209.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 61c | 166.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…1575backed Over | 60c | 161.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…65a2backed Over | 62c | 159.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 153$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 145$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 49c | 132.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +93%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 125.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 47c | 106.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 57c | 102.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 54c | 101.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 100.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 90.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 46c | 87.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 45c | 87.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Over | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Under | 61c | 74.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 38c | 71.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 62c | 70.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Under | 43c | 69.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 41c | 68.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…e7a6backed Over | 60c | 66.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 59c | 64.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Over | 57c | 54.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…2bb3backed Under | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…efd1backed Under | 80c | 53.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 37c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 35c | 51.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.