TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0378…a6bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.15
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.17
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$11.01
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.21
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.19
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$48.52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$21.57
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.