TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes46c20,612$9,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,449.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No54c7,258$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.5413746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.992035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c4,811$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.292,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes46c4,319$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.072934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No53c3,685$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c3,141$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.95,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Yes47c3,057$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes40c2,450$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.969344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c2,183$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.321,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No54c1,583$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.7840448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c1,532$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48028532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No53c1,525$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.951553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes44c1,265$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.782,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c1,165$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.281,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes47c1,051$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.951957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46012552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c616$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.891,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c555.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5513849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c548.9$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.631,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c546.15$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.211,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23018353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes29c466.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.234129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9616647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No54c328.03$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0211764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c252.77$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes26c244.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.451,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c238$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6753148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c227$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7793446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c227$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.771,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No54c221$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6620138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes48c214.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c194$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2416454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c175.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8630548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes48c167.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Yes44c159.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes34c146.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2173850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c143.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.240156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c143.37$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No54c131.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.217545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes45c122.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c119.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9330049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No60c116.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.419530.5%29 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No55c114.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5915455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes34c114.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.465641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No53c113.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed No54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403850%19 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes20c108$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.658542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No55c103.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1832560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%11 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4823755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No56c99.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.535664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No54c93.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No55c92.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7912153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c91.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.261,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No55c91.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0434558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No56c88.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.975761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Yes47c82.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.96825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No54c75.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5210752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0724656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes28c71.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.125653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes25c66.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3713641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes43c62.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0378…a6bbbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6919268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ced…f3adbacked Yes30c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6318445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed No61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No57c49.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.977574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed No60c48.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.683256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1640550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556a…273cbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No54c41.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.943473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48b…1334backed Yes46c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No56c39.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5510843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes45c39.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6954354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked No55c39.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No52c39.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes50c39.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.856738.8%26 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes45c36.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.