Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47b594ce43080cb4d7aa3437b3f51532904a36f95902d374e833e42983618c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 3,372$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.73 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 3,015$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.47 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 960.26$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 769.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.37 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 310.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 258.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 71c | 183.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 39c | 166.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 137.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 133.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 538 | 48.9%263 W · 275 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 60c | 130.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 124.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 60c | 124.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 31c | 119.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 32c | 115.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 264 | 53.4%141 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 51c | 113.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 108.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 101$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed No | 72c | 88.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 56c | 83.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 29c | 71.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 29c | 69.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 30c | 67.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 29c | 59.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 62c | 56.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 71c | 47.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…b2f3backed No | 38c | 43.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 36.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 71c | 29.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 60c | 24.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 23.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 618 | 42.6%263 W · 355 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Yes | 60c | 21.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 75c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 62c | 20.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 68c | 20.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.