Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2991179aa767ba457eea1f77fde7ffa39648cedc64a7c5bb309627b9544ea858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 25c | 9,995$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.95 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,362$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,345$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.6 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,907$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.33 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,561$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 1,063$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed Yes | 25c | 1,004$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 854.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 694.18$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 676.72$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 499.97$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 273.51$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 258.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 14c | 250.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 26c | 222.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 24c | 201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 14c | 193.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Yes | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 177.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…4515backed Yes | 25c | 157.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 151.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 16c | 146.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 120.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 25c | 120.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 110.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 13c | 107.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 58c | 86.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 42c | 76.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Yes | 52c | 69.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…a97bbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 25c | 52.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 42.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…0420backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 36.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 77c | 36.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 34.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 43c | 31.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 79c | 31.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed No | 77c | 29.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 77c | 29.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 45c | 23.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed No | 77c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 76c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 73c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 76c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 72c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.